AP FACT CHECK: Health insurance costs up, but not doubling
WASHINGTON (AP) — A claim from the final presidential debate and how it stacks up with the facts:
DONALD TRUMP: Insurance premiums under the Obama health care law next year “are going to go up over 100 percent.”
THE FACTS: Premiums are going up, and by double digits in many states, but to say it’s over 100 percent is pure hyperbole.
The full impact of next year’s premium increases is going to take time to sort out and vary across the country. Full information will be available Nov. 1 when the HealthCare.gov market goes live.
A study this summer by the nonpartisan Kaiser Family Foundation looked at 14 metro areas with complete information and found premiums were rising in 12 of them. The average increase for a popular option called the “lowest-cost silver plan” was 11 percent.
DONALD TRUMP: “She is raising your taxes, and I am lowering your taxes. …She’s raising everybody’s taxes massively.”
HILLARY CLINTON: “He would end up raising taxes on middle-class families”
THE FACTS: Clinton is not raising taxes on “everybody.” Nearly all of Hillary Clinton’s proposed tax increases would affect the wealthiest 5 percent of Americans, according to the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center.
Trump is proposing massive tax cuts for both individuals and businesses. Yet it’s not clear that all Americans would benefit. The conservative Tax Foundation estimates that the bottom 80 percent of taxpayers would see their after-tax income rise from 0.8 percent to 1.9 percent. The wealthiest 1 percent would see their after-tax incomes rise at least 10.2 percent to 16 percent.
Yet Clinton may be right that Trump’s proposals would increase taxes on many middle- and lower-income families. Trump’s plan eliminates the personal exemption, which currently allows households to reduce their taxable income by $4,050 for each member of the household, including children. He would replace that with higher deductions, but for many single parents and families with three or more children, the standard deduction wouldn’t be large enough to offset the loss of personal exemptions.